Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.075361 0.088340 0.102831 0.120203 0.140459 0.163329 0.191113
2026-01-04 0.058887 0.075823 0.096515 0.123634 0.158230 0.200884 0.257483
2026-01-11 0.046922 0.065670 0.090481 0.125669 0.174263 0.238999 0.331824
2026-01-18 0.037538 0.056683 0.083928 0.125440 0.187038 0.275039 0.410368
2026-01-25 0.029542 0.047842 0.075683 0.120992 0.192798 0.302154 0.481411
2026-02-01 0.023347 0.040340 0.067842 0.115404 0.195495 0.324853 0.549707
2026-02-08 0.019220 0.035267 0.062764 0.113068 0.202654 0.355392 0.635609
2026-02-15 0.015874 0.030813 0.057818 0.109887 0.207584 0.382757 0.720668
2026-02-22 0.013771 0.028172 0.055534 0.110935 0.220049 0.425055 0.839336
2026-03-01 0.011842 0.025462 0.052591 0.110118 0.228730 0.461619 0.953320
2026-03-08 0.009954 0.022446 0.048475 0.106161 0.230408 0.484806 1.044764
2026-03-15 0.008710 0.020546 0.046279 0.105736 0.239176 0.523392 1.173972
2026-03-22 0.007869 0.019454 0.045786 0.109326 0.258162 0.588437 1.375815
2026-03-29 0.007162 0.018536 0.045531 0.113480 0.279401 0.662522 1.612599
2026-04-05 0.006442 0.017437 0.044653 0.116037 0.297537 0.733136 1.855476
2026-04-12 0.005697 0.016108 0.042960 0.116273 0.310164 0.793308 2.085288
2026-04-19 0.004872 0.014380 0.039915 0.112429 0.311753 0.827036 2.255988
2026-04-26 0.004129 0.012709 0.036677 0.107407 0.309268 0.850104 2.403849
2026-05-03 0.003609 0.011567 0.034655 0.105343 0.314486 0.894347 2.617491
2026-05-10 0.003137 0.010458 0.032498 0.102447 0.316796 0.931213 2.818066
2026-05-17 0.002846 0.009853 0.031704 0.103472 0.330870 1.003682 3.135481
2026-05-24 0.002544 0.009138 0.030427 0.102740 0.339502 1.062110 3.422840
2026-05-31 0.002209 0.008235 0.028365 0.099063 0.338170 1.090683 3.624589